March 24, 2014
Michael Petruccelli asks: What are some major things to know about the 2014 housing market? (1)
Michael Petruccelli says: 2014 should prove to be the strongest year for housing activity since before the Great Recession.
Housing activity (home sales and housing starts) has increased modestly over the past several years, but is still at levels well-below sustainable trends. For both economic and demographic reasons, 2014 should be the year when activity reaches the highest level since 2006/2007.
Propelling home sales are job growth and housing affordability. The latter reflects the interplay of household income, mortgage rates and house prices. In 2013, while housing activity picked up, it was a year when job growth remained low and virtually unchanged from the previous year. Moreover, affordability, while still high, fell sharply in the second half.